How well do you know the polls in Canada?

1. 1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2015 election?

   31% 35% 39% 43%

2. 2At Canada's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Bloc NDP Conservative Liberal

3. 3At Canada's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Liberal Conservative Bloc NDP

4. 4At Canada's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 1.5 points 2.0 points 3.0 points

5. 5How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?

   55 64 73 82

6. 6Which party has lost most support since Canada's last election (28 April 2025)?

   Liberal Bloc PPC Conservative

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2021 election?

   26% 30% 34% 38%

8. 8Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2015 election?

   Bloc Conservative NDP Liberal

9. 9How many seats does our forecast give Liberal in the House of Commons in Canada?

   179 207 235 291

10. 10Which party won the most votes at Canada's 2025 election?

    Bloc Liberal Conservative NDP

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.