How well do you know the polls in Canada?

1. 1At which election since 2000 were Canada's final polls closest to the result?

   2021 2000 2015 2006

2. 2At Canada's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Bloc Conservative Liberal NDP

3. 3Who leads the polls in Canada?

   Liberal Bloc Green NDP

4. 4How many seats does our forecast give Liberal in the House of Commons in Canada?

   207 235 263 291

5. 5How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in Canada?

   55 64 73 82

6. 6At Canada's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   NDP Conservative Bloc Liberal

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2025 election?

   36% 40% 44% 52%

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Liberal win at Canada's 2015 election?

   35% 39% 43% 47%

9. 9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2021 election?

   26% 34% 38% 42%

10. 10In Canada, what chance does our forecast give for “NDP reaches 12 seats (party status)”?

    11% 36% 61% 76%

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.