Nederland Volgende verkiezing15 mei 2030over 1.290 dagen PRO largest party 88% D66 + VVD + CDA reach 76 0% Kalender Staat van dienst Onderzoek
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Netherlands · Battleground

Netherlands: the battle for the last seats

The 150 seats are shared nationally by D'Hondt among lists with a full seat's worth of votes, so the battle is for the last few seats. Below, the closest on today's polls, from our projection; it moves with every poll.

The last seats

On our projected shares, the 150 seats shared by D'Hondt. "Next seat": how many more points a party needs to win one more seat; "spare": how far its share could fall before it loses its last one.

  1. PRO17.8% · 28 seats next seat +0.56 pts · spare 0.17
  2. PVV13.1% · 20 seats next seat +0.14 pts · spare 0.56
  3. JA2112.0% · 18 seats next seat +0.07 pts · spare 0.63
  4. D6610.4% · 16 seats next seat +0.32 pts · spare 0.37
  5. VVD9.6% · 15 seats next seat +0.52 pts · spare 0.17
  6. CDA8.3% · 13 seats next seat +0.54 pts · spare 0.14
  7. FvD8.2% · 13 seats next seat +0.63 pts · spare 0.05
  8. PvdD3.6% · 5 seats next seat +0.23 pts · spare 0.42
  9. 50PLUS3.5% · 5 seats next seat +0.27 pts · spare 0.39
  10. SP2.9% · 4 seats next seat +0.30 pts · spare 0.35
  11. CU2.5% · 3 seats next seat +0.04 pts · spare 0.61
  12. SGP2.4% · 3 seats next seat +0.15 pts · spare 0.50
  13. Volt2.4% · 3 seats next seat +0.15 pts · spare 0.49
  14. DENK1.7% · 2 seats next seat +0.15 pts · spare 0.49
  15. BBB1.4% · 2 seats next seat +0.52 pts · spare 0.12

A point of the vote is about 1.5 seats. Our seat projection also allows for polling error, so it can differ by a seat from this split of today's shares.

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