New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
EMG Different, 20 October 2026
EMG Different has FdI ahead of PD by 5.5 points, 26% to 20.5%. Since its previous poll (6 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 19 October 2026 – 20 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 1,000 |
| Method | CATI-CAWI (per earlier releases; not re-verified) |
| Release | |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
26 |
 PD |
20.5 |
 M5S |
11.6 |
 FI |
7.5 |
 Lega |
7.3 |
 AVS |
5.6 |
| FN | 5.6 |
 Azione |
2.7 |
 IV |
2.6 |
| Others | 2.1 |
 +Europa |
1.8 |
| PLD | 1.8 |
 NM |
1.7 |
| ScN | 1.5 |
| PCI | 1 |
| Ora! | 0.7 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 13 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Lega 7.3% against 5.4%; FdI 26% against 27.8%.