Italy General electionby 22 Dec 2027in 408 days Centre-left majority 62% No majority in the Camera 0% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election

Eumetra MR, 4 November 2026

Eumetra MR has FdI ahead of PD by 7.4 points, 27.9% to 20.5%. Since its previous poll (28 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.

Fieldwork3 November 2026 – 4 November 2026
Sample800
MethodCATI-CAWI (not re-verified)
Release
In our averageYes: it is this pollster's latest

Main

%
Giorgia MeloniFdI 27.9
Elly SchleinPD 20.5
Giuseppe ConteM5S 12
Antonio TajaniFI 7.2
FN 6.4
Angelo BonelliAVS 6.2
Matteo SalviniLega 6.1
Others 4.1
Carlo CalendaAzione 3.2
Matteo RenziIV 2.4
Riccardo Magi+Europa 1.5
Maurizio LupiNM 1.1
ScN 1.1

Against the other polls

Its figures are within a point and a half of the median of the 7 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it.

Eumetra MR's previous poll, 28 October 2026 →

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