New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
EMG Different, 6 October 2026
EMG Different has FdI ahead of PD by 4.8 points, 25.4% to 20.6%. Since its previous poll (3 October 2026) no party has moved by a point or more.
| Fieldwork | 5 October 2026 – 6 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 1,000 |
| Method | CATI-CAWI (per earlier releases; not re-verified) |
| Release | |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
25.4 |
 PD |
20.6 |
 M5S |
11.8 |
 FI |
7.9 |
 Lega |
7.5 |
| FN | 6.5 |
 AVS |
5.8 |
| Others | 4.2 |
 Azione |
2.6 |
 IV |
2.5 |
 +Europa |
1.8 |
 NM |
1.7 |
| PLD | 1.7 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 13 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: FdI 25.4% against 27.5%; Lega 7.5% against 5.5%.