New electoral law Our forecast now uses Italy's new electoral law, approved on 8 October 2026: no single-member seats, and 70 extra deputies and 35 extra senators for a coalition that comes first with 42% of the vote. The maps show which coalition leads in each former collegio; those are no longer seats. What changed →
Polls · Next general election
EMG Different, 3 October 2026
EMG Different has FdI ahead of PD by 6.1 points, 26.3% to 20.2%. Since its previous poll (22 September 2026): FdI +1.2 (25.1 → 26.3), PD −1 (21.2 → 20.2).
| Fieldwork | 2 October 2026 – 3 October 2026 |
|---|---|
| Sample | 1,000 |
| Method | CATI-CAWI (per earlier releases; not re-verified) |
| Release | |
| In our average | No: a newer poll by this pollster counts instead, or it is older than the window |
Main
| % | |
|---|---|
 FdI |
26.3 |
 PD |
20.2 |
 M5S |
12.1 |
 Lega |
7.4 |
 FI |
7.3 |
 AVS |
5.9 |
| FN | 5.1 |
| Others | 3.7 |
 Azione |
2.9 |
 IV |
2.6 |
| PLD | 1.8 |
 NM |
1.7 |
 +Europa |
1.6 |
| ScN | 1.4 |
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 13 other polls with fieldwork ending within a week of it: Lega 7.4% against 5.5%.