Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Los Navalucillos: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Los Navalucillos (Toledo, 1,987 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.0% of the vote (2023: 47.9%) Majority 35%
VOX+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 31.5%) Majority 18%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Los Navalucillos

Los Navalucillos is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,987 inhabitants, the 86th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 47.9% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; VOX was second with 3. 73.2% of the 1,723 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.9% → 43.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 31.5% → 40.7% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 11.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. INDEPENDIENTELocal lists 4.6% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,262 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Navalucillos in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →