Navalcán: PSOE would keep its majority
Navalcán (Toledo, 1,888 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 1,315valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 66.6% of the vote (2023: 71.6%)
Majority over 99%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 20.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 7.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 71.6% → 66.6% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 20.5% → 19.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 7.7% → 13.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,315 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.