El Casar de Escalona: PP would keep its majority
El Casar de Escalona (Toledo, 1,891 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 963valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 64.4% of the vote (2023: 66.5%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.6% of the vote (2023: 24.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 8.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 66.5% → 64.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.4% → 20.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 8.9% → 14.8% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 963 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.