Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Román de los Montes: PP would keep its majority

San Román de los Montes (Toledo, 2,047 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 51.4% of the vote (2023: 50.4%) Majority 74%
A.E.S.P.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 22.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 25.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.4% → 51.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. A.E.S.P.Local lists 22.5% → 24.1% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.9% → 23.3% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,103 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Román de los Montes in size, in Toledo

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