España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Tortosa: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Tortosa (Tarragona, 33,890 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 42.2%) Majority 18%
MT-PSC-CP−2
5 councillors (2023: 7) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 3.5%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 42.2% → 37.7% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. MT-PSC-CPPSOE 27.3% → 23.6% 7 → 5 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 13.1% → 16.6% 3 → 4 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.5% → 7.9% 0 → 2 councillors
  5. CUP-AMUNTCUP 5.1% → 5.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. SALVEM LO MONUMENT-DEFENSEM TORTOSALocal lists 4.0% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,859 valid votes including 204 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tortosa in size, in Tarragona

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