Santa Bàrbara: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest
Santa Bàrbara (Tarragona, 3,791 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 1,657valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santa Bàrbara
Santa Bàrbara is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 3,791 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 30.3% of the vote and 3 seats; PERSB' was second with 3. 61.6% of the 2,689 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 3 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 22.9% → 28.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- CMJunts 30.3% → 26.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PERSB'Local lists 25.5% → 25.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- SBAU - ARA PLLocal lists 9.5% → 9.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.3% → 7.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,657 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.