Amposta: EA-ERC-AM would keep its majority
Amposta (Tarragona, 21,807 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 95%EA-ERC-AM majority
- 8,768valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EA-ERC-AM+2
13
councillors (2023: 11) · 52.8% of the vote (2023: 46.4%)
Majority 95%
CM−2
5
councillors (2023: 7) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 29.1%)
Majority 0%
SOM AMPOSTA−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 11.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 2.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EA-ERC-AMERC 46.4% → 52.8% 11 → 13 councillors
- CMJunts 29.1% → 23.4% 7 → 5 councillors
- SOM AMPOSTALocal lists 11.8% → 10.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.3% → 5.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 4.9% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCCCLocal lists 2.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- ARA PLLocal lists 1.7% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,768 valid votes including 155 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.