Umbrete: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Umbrete (Sevilla, 9,253 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 55%no list with a majority
- 4,569valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 55% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Umbrete
Umbrete is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 9,253 inhabitants, the 41st largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 50.1% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 65.4% of the 6,982 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 6 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 50.1% → 46.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 33.7% → 33.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 10.4% → 17.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,569 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.