Olivares: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Olivares (Sevilla, 9,444 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 66%PSOE-A majority
- 4,384valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 48.5% of the vote (2023: 51.6%)
Majority 66%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 32.8%)
Majority 2%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 6.1%)
Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 8.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 32% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 51.6% → 48.5% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 32.8% → 32.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 6.1% → 11.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 8.1% → 5.6% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,384 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.