Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gelves: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Gelves (Sevilla, 10,317 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 35.3% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 4%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 27.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%
CONTIGO±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.8% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Gelves

Gelves is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 10,317 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 38.9% of the vote and 8 seats; PP was second with 5. 56.7% of the 8,179 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 38.9% → 35.3% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 27.8% → 27.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.9% → 15.2% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. CONTIGOLocal lists 9.6% → 10.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 10.6% → 7.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.8% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,640 valid votes including 74 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gelves in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →