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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Sevilla

El Real de la Jara: 100% RJ would keep its majority

El Real de la Jara (Sevilla, 1,510 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

100% RJ+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 80.6% of the vote (2023: 76.8%) Majority over 99%
PSOE-A−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 21.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About El Real de la Jara

El Real de la Jara is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 1,510 inhabitants, the 96th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 100% RJ came first with 76.8% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 78.1% of the 1,272 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps 100% RJ on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. 100% RJLocal lists 76.8% → 80.6% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 21.6% → 18.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 994 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Real de la Jara in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →