Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Ronquillo: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

El Ronquillo (Sevilla, 1,474 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.7% of the vote (2023: 39.8%) Majority 21%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 29.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 23.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 39.8% → 39.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 29.4% → 27.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 23.1% → 24.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 6.5% → 7.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 849 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Ronquillo in size, in Sevilla

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