Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alanís: PP would win a majority

Alanís (Sevilla, 1,689 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 49.6% of the vote (2023: 48.6%) Majority 66%
PSOE-A−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.7% of the vote (2023: 29.3%) Majority 0%
SA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 20.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 34% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.6% → 49.6% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 29.3% → 26.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. SALocal lists 20.4% → 22.0% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 984 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alanís in size, in Sevilla

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