El Ronquillo: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
El Ronquillo (Sevilla, 1,474 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 79%no list with a majority
- 849valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 79% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Ronquillo
El Ronquillo is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 1,474 inhabitants, the 97th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 39.8% of the vote and 4 seats; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 3. 70.5% of the 1,205 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 39.8% → 39.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 29.4% → 27.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 23.1% → 24.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 6.5% → 7.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 849 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Ronquillo in size, in Sevilla
- El Real de la Jara1,510 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- El Castillo de las Guardas1,529 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Las Navas de la Concepción1,552 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Almadén de la Plata1,326 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Alanís1,689 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Algámitas1,252 inhabitants · 9 councillors