El Real de la Jara: 100% RJ would keep its majority
El Real de la Jara (Sevilla, 1,510 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%100% RJ majority
- 994valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Real de la Jara
El Real de la Jara is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 1,510 inhabitants, the 96th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 100% RJ came first with 76.8% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 78.1% of the 1,272 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps 100% RJ on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- 100% RJLocal lists 76.8% → 80.6% 7 → 8 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 21.6% → 18.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 994 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Real de la Jara in size, in Sevilla
- El Castillo de las Guardas1,529 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- El Ronquillo1,474 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Las Navas de la Concepción1,552 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Alanís1,689 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Almadén de la Plata1,326 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Algámitas1,252 inhabitants · 9 councillors