El Castillo de las Guardas: PSOE-A would keep its majority
El Castillo de las Guardas (Sevilla, 1,529 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE-A majority
- 849valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Castillo de las Guardas
El Castillo de las Guardas is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 1,529 inhabitants, the 95th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 81% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 66.7% of the 1,272 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 81.0% → 80.8% 8 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 18.1% → 18.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 849 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.