España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

El Castillo de las Guardas: PSOE-A would keep its majority

El Castillo de las Guardas (Sevilla, 1,529 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 80.8% of the vote (2023: 81.0%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.4% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 81.0% → 80.8% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 18.1% → 18.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 849 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Castillo de las Guardas in size, in Sevilla

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