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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

San Miguel de Abona: CCA would keep its majority

San Miguel de Abona (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 21,915 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CCA−2
11 councillors (2023: 13) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 53.6%) Majority 60%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 40% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About San Miguel de Abona

San Miguel de Abona is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 21,915 inhabitants, the 12th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CCA came first with 53.6% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 50.9% of the 12,400 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CCA on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 60% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CCACoalición Canaria 53.6% → 47.6% 13 → 11 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 18.5% → 16.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.2% → 16.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.6% → 14.6% 1 → 3 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,311 valid votes including 87 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Miguel de Abona in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →