Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Rosario: IR-VERDES would keep its majority

El Rosario (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 17,750 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IR-VERDES+1
10 councillors (2023: 9) · 51.2% of the vote (2023: 49.8%) Majority 92%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%
CCA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.5% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IR-VERDESLocal lists 49.8% → 51.2% 9 → 10 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 16.9% → 13.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 12.3% → 11.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.0% → 11.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. CCACoalición Canaria 11.8% → 9.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. REUNIR CANARIAS SOSTENIBLELocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,675 valid votes including 109 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Rosario in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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