Santa Úrsula: A.I.S.U. would keep its majority
Santa Úrsula (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 15,114 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%A.I.S.U. majority
- 7,246valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
A.I.S.U.±0
12
councillors (2023: 12) · 63.7% of the vote (2023: 64.0%)
Majority over 99%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 16.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 7.1%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 10.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- A.I.S.U.Local lists 64.0% → 63.7% 12 → 12 councillors
- PPPP 16.2% → 14.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 7.1% → 12.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.6% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,246 valid votes including 152 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Santa Úrsula in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- Santa Cruz de la Palma15,361 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- El Rosario17,750 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Tegueste11,359 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Santiago del Teide11,162 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Los Llanos de Aridane20,551 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Güímar21,224 inhabitants · 21 councillors
Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →