Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Icod de los Vinos: no list would have a majority, AICOD largest

Icod de los Vinos (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 23,496 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AICOD±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 36.1% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority 2%
CCA−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 27.3% of the vote (2023: 32.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 2.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AICODLocal lists 33.3% → 36.1% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 32.0% → 27.3% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 19.9% → 19.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 10.6% → 8.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 2.2% → 6.5% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. P.N.C.Local lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,298 valid votes including 131 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Icod de los Vinos in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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