Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valle de Yerri/Deierri: CP IRANTZU HK would keep its majority

Valle de Yerri/Deierri (Navarra, 1,568 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CP IRANTZU HK±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 50.7% of the vote (2023: 50.7%) Majority 65%
IPY±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 45.6% of the vote (2023: 45.6%) Majority 35%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valle de Yerri/Deierri

Valle de Yerri/Deierri is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 1,568 inhabitants, the 69th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CP IRANTZU HK came first with 50.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; IPY was second with 4. 63.8% of the 1,287 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CP IRANTZU HK on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 65% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CP IRANTZU HKLocal lists 50.7% → 50.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. IPYLocal lists 45.6% → 45.6% 4 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 821 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valle de Yerri/Deierri in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →