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Cabanillas: PSN-PSOE would keep its majority

Cabanillas (Navarra, 1,370 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSN-PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 56.7% of the vote (2023: 59.4%) Majority 92%
UPN+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 35.6%) Majority 8%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSN-PSOEPSOE 59.4% → 56.7% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. UPNUPN 35.6% → 38.2% 3 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 776 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabanillas in size, in Navarra

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