Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Lerín: no list would have a majority, PDL largest

Lerín (Navarra, 1,756 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PDL±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 18%
UPN±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.8% of the vote (2023: 36.8%) Majority 10%
A.L.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PDLLocal lists 39.9% → 39.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. UPNUPN 36.8% → 36.8% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. A.L.Local lists 12.2% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. EH BILDUEH Bildu 8.4% → 8.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 882 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Lerín in size, in Navarra

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