Lerín: no list would have a majority, PDL largest
Lerín (Navarra, 1,756 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 72%no list with a majority
- 882valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Lerín
Lerín is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 1,756 inhabitants, the 66th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PDL came first with 39.9% of the vote and 4 seats; UPN was second with 4. 71.1% of the 1,240 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PDL would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PDLLocal lists 39.9% → 39.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- UPNUPN 36.8% → 36.8% 4 → 4 councillors
- A.L.Local lists 12.2% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 8.4% → 8.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 882 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.