Cizur: HC would keep its majority
Cizur (Navarra, 3,920 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 92%HC majority
- 1,932valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cizur
Cizur is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 3,920 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 HC came first with 54.1% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CA was second with 3. 71.9% of the 2,686 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps HC on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- HCLocal lists 54.1% → 54.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- CALocal lists 23.2% → 23.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- UPNUPN 20.2% → 20.2% 2 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,932 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.