España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Orkoien: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Orkoien (Navarra, 4,095 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.4% of the vote (2023: 32.8%) Majority 7%
PSN-PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.6% of the vote (2023: 29.7%) Majority 0%
UPN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
JUNT@S POR ORKOIEN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 32.8% → 35.4% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 29.7% → 26.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. UPNUPN 16.8% → 17.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. JUNT@S POR ORKOIENLocal lists 11.1% → 11.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 6.5% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,876 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Orkoien in size, in Navarra

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