Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Beriáin: AB/BA would keep its majority

Beriáin (Navarra, 4,100 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AB/BA+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 54.0% of the vote (2023: 51.3%) Majority 96%
UPN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
PSN-PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 17.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AB/BALocal lists 51.3% → 54.0% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. UPNUPN 17.6% → 18.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PSN-PSOEPSOE 17.4% → 14.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 10.2% → 9.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,826 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Beriáin in size, in Navarra

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