Beriáin: AB/BA would keep its majority
Beriáin (Navarra, 4,100 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%AB/BA majority
- 1,826valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Beriáin
Beriáin is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 4,100 inhabitants, the 27th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AB/BA came first with 51.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; UPN was second with 2. 60.1% of the 3,040 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AB/BA on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AB/BALocal lists 51.3% → 54.0% 6 → 7 councillors
- UPNUPN 17.6% → 18.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSN-PSOEPSOE 17.4% → 14.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 10.2% → 9.4% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,826 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.