Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Orkoien: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Orkoien (Navarra, 4,095 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.4% of the vote (2023: 32.8%) Majority 7%
PSN-PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.6% of the vote (2023: 29.7%) Majority 0%
UPN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
JUNT@S POR ORKOIEN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Orkoien

Orkoien is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 4,095 inhabitants, the 28th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 32.8% of the vote and 4 seats; PSN-PSOE was second with 4. 67.4% of the 2,782 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 32.8% → 35.4% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 29.7% → 26.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. UPNUPN 16.8% → 17.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. JUNT@S POR ORKOIENLocal lists 11.1% → 11.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 6.5% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,876 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Orkoien in size, in Navarra

Every municipality in Navarra → · All of Spain →