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Berriozar: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Berriozar (Navarra, 10,765 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 49.0% of the vote (2023: 44.4%) Majority 69%
PSN-PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 18.5%) Majority 0%
PARTIDO POPULAR±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
UPN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
CONTIGO-ZUREKIN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Berriozar

Berriozar is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 10,765 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 44.4% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSN-PSOE was second with 3. 58.4% of the 7,287 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 69% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 44.4% → 49.0% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSN-PSOEPSOE 18.5% → 16.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PARTIDO POPULARPP 14.1% → 13.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. UPNUPN 11.4% → 12.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. CONTIGO-ZUREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 9.5% → 7.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,259 valid votes including 89 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Berriozar in size, in Navarra

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