Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Pedro del Pinatar: no list would have a majority, PP largest

San Pedro del Pinatar (Murcia, 26,827 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority 6%
VOX+2
7 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.3% of the vote (2023: 20.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
AISP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About San Pedro del Pinatar

San Pedro del Pinatar is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 26,827 inhabitants, the 13th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 39.7% of the vote and 9 seats; VOX was second with 5. 58.7% of the 17,018 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.7% → 37.2% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. VOXVox 20.8% → 29.3% 5 → 7 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 19.9% → 16.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. AISPLocal lists 13.5% → 13.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. 3ELocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS+IU-VERDES+AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,990 valid votes including 151 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Pedro del Pinatar in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →