Jumilla: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Jumilla (Murcia, 26,596 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 66%no list with a majority
- 10,598valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
10
councillors (2023: 10) · 42.0% of the vote (2023: 42.3%)
Majority 26%
PSOE−1
8
councillors (2023: 9) · 36.9% of the vote (2023: 40.4%)
Majority 8%
VOX+2
3
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.6% of the vote (2023: 7.7%)
Majority 0%
IU - PODEMOS - AV−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.4% of the vote (2023: 5.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 66% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.3% → 42.0% 10 → 10 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 40.4% → 36.9% 9 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 7.7% → 13.6% 1 → 3 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.7% → 3.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,598 valid votes including 173 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Jumilla in size, in Murcia
- San Pedro del Pinatar26,827 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Caravaca de la Cruz25,722 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Alhama de Murcia22,691 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Las Torres de Cotillas21,980 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Totana32,329 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Mazarrón33,700 inhabitants · 21 councillors