España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Alhama de Murcia: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Alhama de Murcia (Murcia, 22,691 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
9 councillors (2023: 8) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 6%
PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 31.5% of the vote (2023: 34.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.4% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%
IUV−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 10.2%) Majority 0%
ALHAM@UNA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.9% → 37.7% 8 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 34.6% → 31.5% 8 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.9% → 15.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. IUVSumar, Podemos and allies 10.2% → 7.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. ALHAM@UNALocal lists 6.6% → 7.0% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 10,039 valid votes including 91 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alhama de Murcia in size, in Murcia

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