Archena: PP would keep its majority
Archena (Murcia, 19,622 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 9,241valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Archena
Archena is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 19,622 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 60.6% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 70.5% of the 13,110 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.6% → 61.2% 11 → 12 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 22.7% → 19.8% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 8.8% → 15.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- IU-V-RMSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 2.9% 1 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,241 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Archena in size, in Murcia
- La Unión20,656 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Los Alcázares17,603 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Fuente Álamo de Murcia17,589 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Las Torres de Cotillas21,980 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Mula17,231 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Alhama de Murcia22,691 inhabitants · 21 councillors