Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mazarrón: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Mazarrón (Murcia, 33,700 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 30.7% of the vote (2023: 31.6%) Majority 0%
UIDM±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 28.3% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.6% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 31.6% → 30.7% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. UIDMLocal lists 27.4% → 28.3% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 27.1% → 23.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  4. VOXVox 7.0% → 12.6% 1 → 3 councillors
  5. POR MI REGIÓNLocal lists 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IUVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,474 valid votes including 136 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mazarrón in size, in Murcia

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