Mazarrón: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Mazarrón (Murcia, 33,700 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 11,474valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Mazarrón
Mazarrón is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 33,700 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 31.6% of the vote and 8 seats; UIDM was second with 6. 59.9% of the 19,150 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 31.6% → 30.7% 8 → 7 councillors
- UIDMLocal lists 27.4% → 28.3% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 27.1% → 23.6% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 7.0% → 12.6% 1 → 3 councillors
- POR MI REGIÓNLocal lists 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- IUVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.4% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,474 valid votes including 136 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.