Águilas: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Águilas (Murcia, 36,403 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 81%no list with a majority
- 16,705valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−2
9
councillors (2023: 11) · 42.8% of the vote (2023: 47.3%)
Majority 19%
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 31.1% of the vote (2023: 32.3%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+2
5
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 15.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 81% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 47.3% → 42.8% 11 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 32.3% → 31.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 15.2% → 23.1% 3 → 5 councillors
- IU-VERDES+PODEMOS+AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,705 valid votes including 149 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.