Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mula: PSOE would keep its majority

Mula (Murcia, 17,231 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 46.5% of the vote (2023: 49.8%) Majority 53%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 34.8%) Majority 3%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%
IU-V-RM−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.2% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Mula

Mula is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 17,231 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.8% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 68.7% of the 12,430 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 53% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 49.8% → 46.5% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.8% → 34.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.5% → 12.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU-V-RMSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,537 valid votes including 81 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mula in size, in Murcia

Every municipality in Murcia → · All of Spain →