Santomera: PP would keep its majority
Santomera (Murcia, 16,125 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 60%no list with a majority
- 7,773valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 46.1% of the vote (2023: 47.9%)
Majority 39%
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 32.9%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 9.3%)
Majority 0%
AXS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 9.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.9% → 46.1% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.9% → 28.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 9.3% → 15.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- AXSLocal lists 9.0% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,773 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.