Santomera: PP would keep its majority
Santomera (Murcia, 16,125 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 60%no list with a majority
- 7,773valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Santomera
Santomera is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 16,125 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 47.9% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 6. 71.3% of the 10,896 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 39% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 47.9% → 46.1% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 32.9% → 28.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 9.3% → 15.2% 1 → 2 councillors
- AXSLocal lists 9.0% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,773 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.