Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Bullas: PSOE would keep its majority

Bullas (Murcia, 11,627 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 49.8% of the vote (2023: 53.6%) Majority 69%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 29.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
IU-V-RM−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.1% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 53.6% → 49.8% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.6% → 29.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.4% → 15.9% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-V-RMSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,360 valid votes including 61 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bullas in size, in Murcia

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