Fortuna: PP would keep its majority
Fortuna (Murcia, 10,843 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 97%PP majority
- 5,234valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
11
councillors (2023: 11) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 58.1%)
Majority 97%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 23.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 17.5% of the vote (2023: 10.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 58.1% → 57.1% 11 → 11 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.6% → 20.2% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.8% → 17.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- IU-VSumar, Podemos and allies 5.2% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- POR MI REGIÓNLocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,234 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.